Disaster Index: 5.1 Entry: The Successor Hazard Cause: Scotland beginning a managerial appointment process with the tournament still in progress and the field of candidates already being publicly assembled. Category: Administrative Evidence: Steve Clarke's tenure concluded before the group stage did. The succession question is now live. The phrase "monster job" has entered the discourse, which historically functions less as an attraction and more as a warning label. Historical precedent: Scotland's managerial transitions have a reliable structure — the announcement of a search, the narrowing of candidates, and the appointment of someone who arrives carrying the weight of the thing that just happened. The record is available. Affected parties: The Scottish Football Association; the next man; Scotland supporters who will be asked to extend confidence on credit. Immediate outlook: The process will proceed. The Index will monitor whether the appointment makes structural sense or emotional sense, and whether those are the same thing. Filed: 28 June 2026 / Post-group stage