Disaster Index: 4.1 Entry: Administrative Continuity, Pre-Tournament Cause: Scotland's governing body extending Steve Clarke's contract before the tournament has produced evidence that extension was warranted. Category: Administrative Evidence: Clarke's deal renewed ahead of a first World Cup in 28 years. The extension predates any knockout-stage proof. Scottish football administration has form for rewarding incumbency before the case is made — Neil Doncaster arrived at the SPFL in 2009 and remained; Ian Maxwell was headhunted from a relegation-bound club and stayed. Historical precedent: The summit of Scottish football has historically been a stable environment for long-term occupancy. Stability and progress are recorded separately. Affected parties: Steve Clarke; the SFA; a support that will discover whether the decision was correct in real time. Immediate outlook: The contract exists. The tournament will provide the evidence. These events will occur in that order. Filed: 2026-06-05 / Pre-Haiti baseline