Disaster Index: 3.1 Entry: Post-Haiti: Competence Delivered Cause: Scotland winning a World Cup match for the first time in 36 years, which closes one category of risk and opens several others. Category: Historical / Emotional Evidence: McGinn, minute unconfirmed. 1–0. Scotland's first World Cup win since 1990. Thirty-six years of that particular absence now closed. The result is correct. The margin is slim. Historical precedent: Scotland last won a World Cup match on 16 June 1990 (2–1 v Sweden). The intervening period produced five tournament exits, four group-stage eliminations, and one 28-year absence from the competition entirely. Affected parties: Supporters who organised hope around a school night. The emotional infrastructure, which has now been asked to process an unfamiliar outcome. Immediate outlook: Index reduced from pre-match elevation. New exposure category now open: a Scotland side that has won carries different expectations into the Morocco fixture. The Index will monitor accordingly. Filed: 14 June 2026 / Group Stage, Matchday 1