Disaster Index: 6.8 Entry: External Dependency, Human Cost Cause: Tartan Army supporters in Miami holding non-refundable flights, accommodation, and the residual cost of the cars they have already sold, while the question of whether Scotland play again is answered by results elsewhere. Category: External Dependency / Emotional Evidence: Scotland's continuation in the tournament is contingent on group-stage results not involving Scotland. Supporters have already committed financially. The BBC notes the options being discussed include air miles, resale markets, and waiting. The waiting is not metaphorical. Historical precedent: Scotland 1982 — supporters reached the group stage and watched their team's campaign end while still in Spain. The pattern of sunken-cost presence at an unresolved exit is established. Affected parties: Tartan Army members currently in the Miami area with accommodation booked beyond the group stage; their employers; their families; the cars. Immediate outlook: Nothing can be confirmed or cancelled until other fixtures conclude. The supporters remain in position. This is the category of disaster where the mechanism is other people's football. Filed: 25 June 2026 / group stage, result pending