Disaster Index: 5.8 Entry: Four Goals and a Question Cause: Scotland winning 4–0 in a World Cup warm-up match, activating the known risk of pre-tournament euphoria displacing pre-tournament preparation. Category: Emotional / Historical Evidence: Four first-half goals against Bolivia. All four scored before half-time. Bolivia's squad includes players drawn from domestic football and clubs in Morocco and Brazil — a familiar warm-up opponent profile. Scotland have never previously met Bolivia in international competition. Historical precedent: The warm-up result and the tournament result are different measurements. Scotland entered France 1998 having not lost in seven matches. The group stage opened against Brazil. Affected parties: Supporters who are now feeling considerably better than the schedule warrants; the evidence, which is being asked to carry more than its structural load. Immediate outlook: Index elevated not for what happened, but for what four first-half goals will now be permitted to mean.