Disaster Index: 5.1 Entry: The Clarke Transformation, Pre-Haiti Cause: The Scotland head coach arriving at a World Cup opener describing himself as a "different" man, with a fresh wave of optimism recorded. Category: Emotional / Historical Evidence: Clarke has described a personal transformation ahead of the tournament. The phrase "smash Scotland's glass ceiling" is in active circulation. A fresh wave of optimism has been sensed and reported. Historical precedent: The pre-tournament manager-renewal narrative has appeared before the last three Scotland tournament campaigns in which Scotland participated. It has not previously altered the structural conditions of the opening fixture. Affected parties: Scotland supporters currently calibrating between the feeling and the evidence; the evidence, which is being asked to carry a heavier load than usual. Immediate outlook: The transformation may be genuine. The Index records it regardless. Filed: 10 June 2026 / Pre-Haiti