Disaster Index: 5.8 Entry: McGinn Leads, Index Watches Cause: Scotland taking the lead against Haiti in the 48th minute of their opening fixture, activating the historically documented risk category of the Managed Position. Category: Emotional / Historical Evidence: John McGinn, 01:48 BST, Boston Stadium. Scotland lead a World Cup match for the first time since 1998. Of Scotland's last eleven occasions leading at half-time or beyond in major tournament football, six produced a result consistent with the lead; five did not. The Index notes this is not pessimism. It is the record. Historical precedent: Morocco 1998. Scotland led. The lead was not retained to full satisfaction. The category has been active since. Affected parties: Scottish supporters currently awake at approximately 01:50 BST; Scottish supporters who set alarms; Scottish supporters who did not set alarms and are now receiving texts. Immediate outlook: The lead is real. The Index is not yet satisfied. Proceeding under elevated observation.