Disaster Index: 5.8 Entry: Post-Haiti Competence Hangover Cause: Scotland having won their opening fixture, now required to manage the specific danger of having something to protect. Category: Emotional / Structural Evidence: First World Cup win since 1998 secured against Haiti in Boston. Morocco arrive next as the group's second-ranked side. The distance between a tense opener survived and a confident campaign progressed is not automatically crossed by having crossed it once. Historical precedent: Scotland's qualification record shows a consistent pattern of performing better as underdogs than as a side with recent evidence of competence. The weight of expectation recalibrates poorly. Affected parties: Defensive structure; tactical selection; the portion of the support that has already done the arithmetic on the group table. Immediate outlook: Index elevated. The win is on the record. What Scotland does with it remains to be filed. Filed: 2026-06-14 / post-Haiti, pre-Morocco