Disaster Index: 3.9 Entry: Eligibility Triangulation, Pre-Declaration Cause: A Scotland-eligible striker in form with Allsvenskan leaders IK Sirius has not yet committed to Scotland, and Ukraine are also interested. Category: External Dependency Evidence: Robbie Ure is performing at the level of a player Scotland need. He has not declared. Ukraine represent a credible alternative jurisdiction. Scotland's record in competitive eligibility negotiations is not a source of institutional confidence. Historical precedent: Scotland have lost eligibility races before without the public knowing one was taking place. Affected parties: Scotland coaching staff; whoever is responsible for making the call; Robbie Ure's phone. Immediate outlook: The situation remains open. Open situations involving Scotland and another country's interest have a known resolution rate. Filed: 2026-07-08 / Pre-tournament, squad-building phase