Disaster Index: 6.8 Entry: Unbeaten and Home — The 1974 Precedent Cause: Public re-engagement with Scotland's 1974 World Cup campaign, in which Scotland exited the group stage without losing a match, introducing the possibility that not losing is not the same as surviving. Category: Historical Evidence: Scotland played three, won none, drew three. Goal difference was the mechanism of elimination. Brazil and Yugoslavia both advanced. Scotland went home with a clean disciplinary record and no further fixtures. Joe Jordan and Davie Hay remember it with what the record indicates is genuine pride. Historical precedent: This is the precedent. 1974 is not a warning borrowed from elsewhere — it is the original Scottish formulation of exit without defeat, the governing case study for a country that has learned to conflate performance with outcome and occasionally been wrong in both directions. Affected parties: The 2026 campaign. Any supporter preparing to accept a point against Haiti as evidence of progress. Goal difference as a concept. Immediate outlook: The 1974 template is available. Scotland is under no obligation to use it. The group stage will, in due course, establish whether obligation was required.