Disaster Index: 7.1 Entry: The Morocco Problem Cause: Scotland preparing to face a Morocco side ranked 14th in the world, technically organised, physically imposing, and experienced at major tournaments — in a fixture that is functionally an elimination match. Category: Structural / External Dependency Evidence: Morocco reached the 2022 World Cup semi-final. Scotland have yet to win a World Cup group game since 1974. Friday's kick-off is 23:00 BST, which is late enough to feel ceremonial. The group table at this point requires a result, not a performance. Historical precedent: Scotland's record against top-twenty opposition at major tournaments is 1 win, 4 draws, 11 defeats. The win was West Germany in 1974, which is now 52 years ago and features in a disproportionate number of Scottish football conversations. Affected parties: The squad. The support. Anyone who has arranged leave for Saturday morning. Immediate outlook: The structural exposure is real. Morocco are not Haiti. The Index does not speculate on the result. It records that the conditions for a significant filing are in place.