Disaster Index: 7.1 Entry: The Competence Hazard Adjusts Upward Cause: Haiti's 4-0 defeat of New Zealand in a pre-tournament friendly, combined with Billy Gilmour's confirmed absence, recalibrates the opening fixture from winnable inconvenience to genuine structural test. Category: Tactical / Emotional Evidence: Haiti defeated New Zealand 4-0 in Florida. Billy Gilmour is ruled out of the World Cup. Steve Clarke is now required to publicly warn against underestimation, which confirms that underestimation was in progress. Scotland's 82nd-ranked opponents have spent the week demonstrating they are not cooperating with the narrative. Historical precedent: Scotland have previous with opponents who arrived ranked lower and left better remembered. The mechanism of disrespect-converted-to-motivation is sufficiently established to warrant its own taxonomy entry. Affected parties: Scottish midfield structure. Scottish supporters who had already mentally banked three points. Steve Clarke, who must now spend the pre-match window correcting the public's homework. Immediate outlook: The Index rises not because Haiti are frightening but because Scotland's relationship with winnable games has its own injury record.