Disaster Index: 5.1 Entry: Pre-Tournament Confidence Hazard Cause: Scotland have scored eight goals across two friendly wins and a senior player has used the phrase "club feel." The picture, per the record, is clearer and brighter. The Index notes this. Category: Emotional / Historical Evidence: Eight goals against Curaçao and Bolivia. Lawrence Shankland characterising camp morale using language borrowed from domestic football. Scotland arrived at Euro 2024 with similar momentum questions resolved in similar fashion. What followed Euro 2024 is in the archive. Historical precedent: Pre-tournament friendly form has functioned as evidence in this way before. The evidence was not incorrect. It was incomplete. Affected parties: The Scottish public, currently recalibrating. The squad, now carrying expectation shaped by friendlies against sides whose motivational investment in the result was not identical to their own. Immediate outlook: The Index does not dispute the goals. It files the gap between "eight goals against Bolivia" and "ready for Haiti" and invites the record to remain open.