Disaster Index: 7.8 Entry: Brazil Horizon Cause: Scotland entering a must-not-lose fixture against Brazil following defeat to Morocco, with elimination arithmetic tightening and the largest available opponent waiting. Category: Structural Evidence: Morocco result removes the margin for further error. Brazil are the group's highest-ranked side. Scotland must now manage both the scoreline and the occasion simultaneously, which has historically not been Scotland's optimal condition. Historical precedent: Scotland have faced elimination-pressure fixtures against top-ten nations at major tournaments on multiple occasions. The results are in the record. Affected parties: The squad, the travelling support, the portion of the country watching at whatever hour this requires. Immediate outlook: The index reflects the arithmetic, not a verdict. Scotland have stepped up before. The record on how often is available on request. Filed: 2026-06-22 / post-Morocco, pre-Brazil